Most major accounts continue to hold existing positions, but the return on equity (ROE) is worsening, indicating the market has not yet bottomed out.
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On the 1-hour chart, a bullish breakout signal appeared at 4 PM on March 14, but the market largely consolidated sideways over the weekend, with declining trading volume reflecting low activity.
Improving rate-cut expectations, driven by key economic data, have boosted BTC’s short-term liquidity outlook, allowing it to decouple from equities and rebound quickly.
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If BTC drops below $66,000, the index would enter a bottoming phase, indicating a potential market low.
From a technical perspective, the $71,000-$73,000 range is a previous accumulation zone and also the liquidation range for most users.
Altcoins are unlikely to see strong rallies while BTC remains in a downtrend, but TOTAL3 could rise rapidly once BTC finds a bottom.
If BTC fails to break through the critical resistance zone between $93,000 and $97,000 by March 20, the longer it stays below this range, the higher the likelihood of an impulse wave to the downside.